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Of all the upsets in the round of 64, Tennessee's dismantling of sixth-seeded Massachusetts was, by far, the least surprising.

The Volunteers came into the tournament on a bit of a hot streak, winning five in a row before losing to Florida in the SEC tournament semifinals. Tennessee may have been one of the last four at-large teams to make it into the field because of a shaky resume, but from late February on the Vols have had the look of a Top-10 team.

Tennessee ranks 17th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 14th in adjusted defensive efficiency, per kenpom.com. It's one of the most balanced teams left in the field — only Arizona, Florida and Louisville rank in the Top-20 in both categories.

So why are the Vols an 11 seed?

The easy answer is just plain old bad luck. Of Tennessee's 12 losses, only one was by double-digits. Five of those losses were decided by two or fewer possessions. In kenpom.com's "Luck" metric, which is "A measure of the deviation between a team's actual winning percentage and what one would expect from its game-by-game efficiencies," the Vols rank 337th out of 351 teams.

The selection committee claims to use the eye test as apart of its evaluation. If that's the case, it may be time to visit the optometrist. Tennessee plays tough, man-to-man defense. On the offensive end, The Vols make up for repeated bouts with cold shooting by rebounding 39.8 percent of their misses, which ranks fourth nationally.

After an overtime win over Iowa in the first round, Tennessee cruised into the Sweet 16 with a pair of double-digit wins. Cuonzo Martin's team has just been beating up teams down low on both ends of the court, and that should continue Friday night against a Michigan team that has some vulnerabilities inside.

Tennessee's Jarnell Stokes hasn't been stopped through three games in the NCAA tournament. Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports.

Tennessee's Jarnell Stokes hasn't been stopped through three games in the NCAA tournament. Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports.

Without Mitch McGary, the Wolverines do not have an answer for Janell Stokes. No one has had an answer for the 6-foot-8, 260 pound junior. In three tournament games, Stokes is averaging 20.3 points and 15 rebounds. That doesn't bode well for a Michigan team that ranks outside of the top-200 in two-point field goal defense and outside of the top-300 in blocked shots.

"The way he's playing in the tournament, I don't think anybody can handle him one-on-one," Tennessee guard Antonio Barton told the Detroit Free Press. "You just get him the ball and get out of his way."

Jordan McRae leads the Tennessee's perimeter attack. The 6-foot-6 senior leads the team in scoring and is one of the Vols' few three-point threats. Tennessee shoots just 31.9 percent from beyond the arc, but it will need to hit outside shots to open up things inside for Stokes. The onus for that will fall on McRae.

Michigan is fresh off a win over a good low-post team in the Texas Longhorns, who's statistical profile is eerily similar to Tennessee's. The difference between those two teams — besides what shade of orange they claim — is the Vols' defense.

Tennessee guards the three-point line relentlessly, allowing the 27th least three-point attempts. Texas was on the other end of the spectrum heading into its game with Michigan. Rick Barnes elected to play zone, and the Wolverines predictably shot the Longhorns out of the gym.

If Cuonzo Martin's team guards the three-point line as well as it has all season, Tennessee will make things hard on Michigan's excellent offense and will have a good chance to go from the First four to the last eight.

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